Rolls-Royce Holdings Trading Update to 30th November 2021

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS PLC TRADING UPATE

 

Rolls-Royce Holdings plc announced today its trading update to 30 November 2021.

 

Driving better results and order intake

–  Benefit of cost reductions and market recovery reflected in improving free cash flow

–  Continued gradual recovery in large engine flying hours, a significant award of the B-52 replacement engine contract in Defence and demand recovering in Power Systems

Delivering on our commitments

–  Restructuring programme delivering sustainable savings of more than £1.0bn in FY 2021

–  Net cash inflow achieved in the third quarter

–  Free cash outflow in FY 2021 is expected to be better than previous guidance of £2.0bn

–  Disposals announced with proceeds totalling around £2.0bn

Good progress on new markets

–  Successful funding for Rolls-Royce SMR

–  Significant achievements in Rolls-Royce Electrical

 

Chief Executive Warren East said: “We are delivering on the elements within our control and are focused on our commitments. We have achieved good results with our fundamental restructuring programme, as we sustainably reduce costs and deliver a leaner and more efficient company and are firmly on course to complete our disposals programme. While external uncertainties clearly remain, we have seen continued gradual recovery in our Civil Aerospace business, a growing order book in Power Systems and have secured a significant contract win in Defence. We are investing in the net zero technologies and solutions that we need across the group to grasp the tremendous commercial opportunity of the global energy transition and drive long-term value. This all underpins our strategy of creating a better quality and more balanced business which can deliver significantly improved returns and cash flow into the future.”

 

Current trading and Full Year 2021 outlook

The gradual recovery in international flying combined with market recovery in Power Systems and resilience in Defence are driving improvements in our trading performance. In addition, our restructuring programme, launched in May 2020, is delivering sustainable cost savings more quickly than initially anticipated, and positions us well for the £1.3bn savings target by the end of 2022. By the end of 2021 we expect to have removed more than 8,500 roles, with the pace of restructuring running ahead of our original plan and footprint rationalisation continuing through the second half of the year.

 

This improved trading performance drove a return to positive free cash flow in the third quarter and reduced the outflow expected in the second half. In addition, around £300m of original equipment (OE) concession outflows, originally expected in 2021 are now expected to fall in 2022 due to delayed delivery of aircraft for which we have already supplied engines. As a result of both the improved trading and the concession timing, our free cash outflow in 2021 is expected to be better than the £2bn previously guided.

 

Performance summary

In Civil Aerospace, installed engine sales and aftermarket shop visit activity are both lower than the prior year and at the lower end of the guidance given at the half year. Large engine flying hours have continued to recover gradually helped by the reopening of certain key travel corridors, especially the trans-Atlantic routes. The pace of travel recovery remains uneven as countries around the world look to manage the ongoing challenges of the COVID-19 pandemic. Our large engine flying hours are currently around 50% of 2019 levels and approximately 46% year to date as compared to the 43% average for the first half of the year. Engine flying hours in business aviation remain above the 2019 level.

Current trading in Defence is in line with our expectations with steady demand from our customers. In September, we were successful in the B-52 replacement engine competition with an agreement to power the US fleet of 76 eight-engine aircraft for the next 30 years, with a total value of $2.6bn. The initial phase of the contract is for testing and development with a value of around $500m.

In Power Systems, the recovery of customer demand in many of our end markets is driving improvements in order intake. As a business with a shorter cycle and higher inventory turnover than Civil Aerospace and Defence, Power Systems has a greater exposure to the current global supply chain disruption. The significant near-term supply chain pressure looks set to continue for some time. Our focused supply chain reporting and procurement practices are helping to mitigate the impact in 2021 and we are closely monitoring the business risk for 2022.

Rolls-Royce SMR has moved into its second phase with the foundation of a special purpose vehicle with new investors raising funds totalling £145m in exchange for approximately 20% of the equity, in addition to a £50m commitment from Rolls-Royce, and matched funding from the UK Government of up to £210m. These funds support the UK Generic Design Assessment process for new nuclear power plants and identification of factory sites for the manufacture of the power plant modules.

In Rolls-Royce Electrical, we are very proud to claim that our Spirit of Innovation is the world's fastest all-electric aircraft, hitting a top speed of 345mph – well over 100mph faster than the previous world speed record over a 3km distance. In addition to this achievement being tremendously uplifting for our people, the programme has provided valuable insights into the requirements of aerospace battery systems for applications in new markets.

 

Strengthening our balance sheet with around £2bn of agreed disposals

In line with our 2020 commitment to rebuild our balance sheet, we have announced several disposals to generate approximately £2bn in proceeds, including retained cash.

–  Civil Nuclear Instrumentation & Control completed in November (€99m proceeds received plus €37m retained cash)

–  ITP Aero was announced in September with completion expected in H1 2022 (expected proceeds of €1.7bn plus retained cash)

–  Bergen Engines is expected to complete before the year end (expected proceeds and retained cash of approximately €100m)

–  AirTanker Holdings is expected to reach completion by Q1 2022 (expected proceeds of £186m)

The proceeds from these disposals, together with underlying free cash flow generation from the Group will be used to reduce net debt.

 

Our Full Year 2021 results will be announced on 24 February 2022.

 

Conference call details:

A Trading Update conference call for investors and analysts will be held at 09:00 GMT today with Warren East, Chief Executive and Panos Kakoullis, CFO.

 

UK dial-in: +44 333 300 0804

US dial-in: +1 631 913 1422

International dial-in: +44 333 300 0804

Participant passcode: 381 621 82#

 

A replay will also be made available on our website after the event: www.rolls-royce.com/investors.

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